The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

One name absent from the list is Katie Miller, Musk’s right-hand woman at DOGE, who departed her work in government when Musk ...

The price of "yes" has now plummeted to $0.04 from $0.19, giving an implied probability of outcome at just 4%. The "yes" ...

Crypto gamblers are crying foul as they stand to lose millions of dollars in a bet over whether Ukraine's president would ...

Polymarket users are split as to who will take over as CEO of X. A very thin majority of users believe no one will be named ...

A Polymarket dispute over Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's attire exposes crypto oracle vulnerabilities, threatening ...

"It’s not out of the question," Elon Musk said back in 2022 when MrBeast asked if he could be the next X (then Twitter) CEO.

Polymarket is facing the anger of its community, after the market on whether Zelenskyy would wear a suit by July resolved to ...

Discontent over the market’s resolution has reignited scrutiny of UMA’s dispute system and the influence of large Polymarket ...

In the wake of UMA’s controversial ruling on whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy wore a suit, one of Polymarket’s top traders says ...

Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have ...